Economic Indicators
Citi Inflation Surprises
Citi Inflation Surprises is a long-standing series published by Citi’s FX research department to gauge whether inflation is “beating expectations” of economic forecasters - this is very much the concept of a company beating analyst expectations, applied to a whole economy.
Inflation surprises provide a gauge of inflation’s trend and are regarded by Currency and Treasury traders as a way to build expectations for Central Bank actions.